19 April 2005Religion
Good Money is on the Nigerian to Win

Want to get some action on the conclave? Just head over to paddypower.com, check out the odds, the candidates, fill yourself in on the process and the history of papal elections.

Cardinal Francis Arinze of Nigeria is the front runner, but I suspect this is mostly wishful thinking. As cool as it would be to have an African or Latin American pope, I suspect when the voting is all done, we'll find a return to traditional Western European, if not Italian, pontiff.

As a Jewish atheist, I shouldn't find this all that interesting, but I can't help but be fascinated. The papacy is such a huge part of our world culture. There's even a genre of fiction devoted to the topic. The secrecy, the pomp and circumstance, the rituals of burning the ballots, the visuals of crimson robed cardinals congregating beneath Michaelangelo's Last Judgment. It's all so intriguing.

There have been several votes so far and only plumes of black smoke have arisen from the chimney of the Sistine Chapel to signify a lack of consensus on a new pontiff. Eventually the Papal Interregnum will end and we can get on with our lives, but in the meantime, the world waits as a few old men chose a new leader and decide on the future path of the Catholic church.

Here are the odds for you punters who are thinking of placing a bet or putting together an office pool.

Francis Arinze (Nigeria)7/2
Joseph Ratzinger (Germany)11/2
Claudio Hummes (Brazil)7/1
Dionigi Tettamanzi (Italy)7/1
Cardinal Oscar Rodriguez Maradiaga (Honduras)9/1
Jean-Marie Lustiger (France)9/1
Cardinal Carlo Maria Martini (Italy)12/1
Cardinal Angelo Scola (Venice)20/1
Cardinal Walter Kasper (Germany)20/1
Count Christoph von Schoenborn (Austria)25/1
Jorge Mario Bergoglio (Argentina)25/1
Jose Da Cruz Policarpo (Portugal)25/1
Cardianl Ruini (Italy)33/1
Cardinal Amigo Vallejo (Spain)33/1
Cardinal Francisco Javier Errazuriz Ossa (Chile)33/1
Giovanni Battista Re (Italy)33/1
Ivan Dias (India)33/1
Keith O Brien (Scotland)33/1
Cardinal Dario Castrillion Hoyos (Colombia)40/1
Cardinal Tarcisio Bertone (Italy)40/1
Geraldo Majella Agnelo (Brazil)40/1
Godfried Daneels (Belgium)40/1
Angelo Sodano (Italy)50/1
Attilio Cardinal Nicora (Roman Curia)50/1
Cardinal Karl Lehnmann (Germany)50/1
Cardinal Marc Ouellet (Canada)50/1
Cardinal Marco Ce (Italy)50/1
Cardinal Varkey Vithayathil (India)50/1
Cormac Murphy-OConnor (UK)50/1
Ennio Antonelli (Italy)50/1
Jaime Lucas Ortega y Alamino (Cuba)50/1
Norberto Rivera Carrera (Mexico)50/1
Wilfred Napier (South Africa)50/1
Cardinal George Pell (Australia)66/1
Cardinal Severino Poletto (Italy)80/1
Crescenzio Sepe (Italy)80/1
Lopez Rodriguez (Dominican Republic)80/1
Silvano Piovanelli (Italy)80/1
Aloysius Ambrozic (Canada)100/1
Archbishop Andre Vingt-Trois (France)100/1
Archbishop Baltazar Enrique Porras Cardozo (Venezuela)100/1
Archbishop Tadeusz Kondrusiewicz (Russia)100/1
Bernadin Cardinal Gantin (Benin)100/1
Cardinal Desmond Connell (Ireland)100/1
Cardinal Edward Cassidy (Australia)100/1
Cardinal Edward Clancy (Australia)100/1
Cardinal James Francis Stafford (Roman Curia)100/1
Cardinal Joachim Meisner (Germany)100/1
Cardinal Jorge Medina (Roman Curia)100/1
Cardinal Jose Saraiva Martins (Roman Curia)100/1
Cardinal Julian Herranz (Roman Curia)100/1
Cardinal Justin Rigali (USA)100/1
Cardinal Keeler (USA)100/1
Cardinal Lubomyr Husar (Ukraine)100/1
Cardinal Peter Turkson (Ghana)100/1
Cardinal Renato Martino (Italy)100/1
Cardinal Ricardo Maria Carles Gordo (Spain)100/1
Cardinal Rodolfo Quezada Toruno (Guatemala100/1
Cardinal Salvatore De Giorgi (Italy)100/1
Cardinal Sergio Sebastiani (Roman Curia)100/1
Cardinal Telesphore Placidus Toppo (India)100/1
Cardinal Thomas Williams (NZ)100/1
Cardinal Turcotte (Canada)100/1
Diarmuid Martin (Ireland)100/1
Emmanuel Milingo (Zambia)100/1
Giacomo Biffi (Italy)100/1
Ignace Cardinal Daoud, (Roman Curia)100/1
Jean Louis Pierre Tauran (Roman Curia)100/1
Jose MarĂ­a Rouco Varela (Spain)100/1
Josip Bozanic (Croatia)100/1
Juan Luis Cipriani (Peru)100/1
Michele Giordano (Italy)100/1
Miloslav Vlk (Czech Republic)100/1
Philippe Barbarin (France)100/1
Sean Patrick OMalley (USA)100/1
Theodore McCarrick (US)100/1
Vinko Puljic (Bosnia and Herzogovina)100/1
Agostino Cacciavillan (Italy)125/1
Bishop John Magee (Ireland)125/1
Bishop Joseph Zen Ze-Kiun (China)125/1
Cardinal Armand G. Razafindratandra (Madagascar)125/1
Cardinal Audrys Juozas Backis (Lithuania)125/1
Cardinal Emmanuel Wamala (Uganda)125/1
Cardinal Francis Eugene George (USA)125/1
Cardinal Ghattas (Egypt)125/1
Cardinal Jean-Baptiste Pham Minh Man (Vietnam)125/1
Cardinal Julio Terrazas Sandoval (Bolivia)125/1
Cardinal Michael Michai Kitbunchu (Thailand)125/1
Cardinal Polycarp Pengo (Tanzania)125/1
Cardinal Roger Etchegaray (Italy)125/1
Pierre Cardinal Sfeir (Lebanon)125/1

Posted by andrew at April 19, 2005 07:29 AM


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