Not that I put much stock in this, but Kerry has hit the 50% mark in the latest WaPo tracking poll.

To me, this means that Kerry will garner something like 52-53% based on what I think will be huge voter turnout including a large chunk on newly registered voters who hate George Bush.

A four point spread in the national polls should translate to something around 300 Electoral Votes for Kerry. I think he will win Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida (unless Gov. Bush can pull a rabbit out of the hat). Kerry should also take Michigan and Minnesota. New Mexico, Iowa and Wisconsin, which Gore took in 2000 by small margins are in jeopardy, but it won't matter if Kerry wins OH, PA, FL, MN and MI.

There's still a week to go and a terror alert at the last minute can swing the balance of the electorate in the wrong direction, but it seems to me at least, the good guys are finally headed in the right direction, so to speak.

Go Team!